Options Trading Rules of Engagement
·
Williams %R, 15 Day Avg: Extreme over bought or over sold
condition. The shallower this line, the less likely the stock is to change
direction.
·
Moving Avg, 30 Day: Strong trend in desired direction as
indicated by Williams %R. While shallow trends can work, and aggressive trends
can change abruptly, going with the trend wins more often than it loses.
·
Moving Avg, 7 Day:
Close price should be
above the line for Calls and below the line for Puts. Once this is established,
wait until the next day, or look at the next day for stock to be trend in
desired direction.
·
Volume 100+: 100 is the absolute low end limit,
and the more the better. Avoid positions where the volume does not follow the
“In the Money” positions, that is to say avoid buying an options that show
signs of the volume falling below acceptable limits as the option ages.
·
Weight of Emotion: The market is driven by the emotions
of the masses, do not buck the trend. Look for which option type has the most
Open Interest and Volume and trade accordingly. If all previous indicators
point to a Call yet the Puts have significantly greater interest and volume,
reevaluate – if uncertain, move on.
·
Channels: Avoid trades where a stock has
recently broken from a channel until the new nature of the stock in understood.
·
Ceilings & Supports:
The trend line can
deceive you, look at the peaks and dips in the 1, 3, and 6 month time spans, as
well as 10 year highs and lows. Stocks don’t like to break ceilings or
supports, and will go sideways more often than break them. Don’t trade against
them barriers.
·
Volatility: Necessary for profit, but high day to
day volatility can make profitable trading impossible. Look for month to month
swings or longer. Avoid stocks that show tendencies for recurring single day
spikes.
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